Last Updated: January 18, 2026
You've started your SIP. You're investing ₹10,000 every month. But here's the question that keeps you up at night: How much will this actually become?
Will your ₹10,000 monthly SIP grow to ₹20 lakhs, ₹50 lakhs, or even ₹1 crore? And more importantly, how do you calculate this yourself without relying on confusing Excel sheets or financial advisors?
In this comprehensive guide, we'll break down exactly how SIP returns work, teach you multiple calculation methods, and show you real examples with actual numbers. By the end, you'll be able to calculate your own SIP returns with confidence.
Why Understanding SIP Returns Matters
Before we dive into calculations, let's understand why this matters.
The harsh reality: Most Indians start SIPs without knowing their actual goal amount or whether their monthly investment is sufficient. They invest ₹5,000 monthly hoping it becomes "a good amount" in 10 years.
But "a good amount" is vague. Do you need ₹30 lakhs for your child's education or ₹80 lakhs for retirement? Without calculating returns, you're essentially investing blindly.
The power of knowing: When you can calculate SIP returns, you can:
- Set realistic financial goals
- Determine exact monthly investment needed
- Track if you're on target
- Make informed decisions about increasing SIP amounts
- Compare different investment options
Ready to take control? Let's learn how to calculate SIP returns step by step.
Understanding the Basics: What Affects Your SIP Returns?
Before calculating, you need to understand the three key factors that determine your final corpus:
1. Monthly Investment Amount (P)
This is the fixed amount you invest every month. Could be ₹1,000, ₹5,000, ₹10,000, or any amount you choose.
Impact: Linear relationship. If you double your monthly SIP from ₹5,000 to ₹10,000, your final corpus doubles too (assuming same time and returns).
2. Investment Period (n)
How long you stay invested, measured in months or years.
Impact: Exponential relationship due to compounding. The longer you invest, the dramatically higher your returns.
Example:
- ₹10,000 monthly for 10 years at 12% = ₹23.23 lakhs
- ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 12% = ₹99.91 lakhs
- Same monthly amount, double the time = 4.3x the corpus!
3. Expected Rate of Return (r)
The annual percentage return you expect from your investment.
Typical ranges:
- Conservative (debt/hybrid funds): 7-9%
- Moderate (large-cap equity): 10-12%
- Aggressive (mid/small-cap equity): 13-15%
Impact: Significant on long-term wealth. Just 2% difference in returns can mean lakhs more or less.
Example:
- ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 10% = ₹75.94 lakhs
- ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 12% = ₹99.91 lakhs
- Just 2% higher return = ₹23.97 lakhs more!
You may also read : [SIP Vs Lumsum Investment, Which Strategy Wins?]
The SIP Return Formula Explained
Here's the mathematical formula used to calculate SIP returns:
FV = P × [(1 + r)^n - 1] / r × (1 + r)
Where:
- FV = Future Value (final corpus)
- P = Monthly investment amount
- r = Expected monthly rate of return (annual rate ÷ 12)
- n = Total number of monthly investments (years × 12)
Don't panic! This looks complicated, but we'll break it down with examples.
Understanding the Formula Logic
Why is it complex? Because each SIP installment has a different investment duration:
- Your 1st month's ₹10,000 compounds for 120 months (if 10-year SIP)
- Your 60th month's ₹10,000 compounds for 60 months
- Your 120th month's ₹10,000 compounds for just 1 month
The formula accounts for this staggered compounding mathematically.
The good news: You don't need to calculate manually. We'll show you easier methods!
Method 1: Manual Calculation (Step-by-Step)
Let's calculate returns for a real example manually to understand the process.
Example: ₹5,000 monthly SIP for 5 years at 12% annual return
Step 1: Convert Annual Rate to Monthly
Monthly rate (r) = Annual rate ÷ 12 ÷ 100
r = 12 ÷ 12 ÷ 100 = 0.01 (or 1%)
Step 2: Calculate Total Months
n = Years × 12
n = 5 × 12 = 60 months
Step 3: Apply the Formula
FV = P × [(1 + r)^n - 1] / r × (1 + r)
FV = 5,000 × [(1 + 0.01)^60 - 1] / 0.01 × (1 + 0.01)
FV = 5,000 × [(1.01)^60 - 1] / 0.01 × 1.01
FV = 5,000 × [1.8167 - 1] / 0.01 × 1.01
FV = 5,000 × 0.8167 / 0.01 × 1.01
FV = 5,000 × 81.67 × 1.01
FV = 5,000 × 82.48
FV = ₹4,12,400
Understanding the Result
Total invested: ₹5,000 × 60 months = ₹3,00,000
Final value: ₹4,12,400
Profit earned: ₹4,12,400 - ₹3,00,000 = ₹1,12,400
Absolute return: (₹1,12,400 / ₹3,00,000) × 100 = 37.5%
But wait! This is NOT your annual return. This is total return over 5 years.
To find approximate annual return: 37.5% ÷ 5 = 7.5% (rough estimate)
Why less than 12%? Because not all your money was invested for the full 5 years. Your last SIP installment was invested for just 1 month.
Method 2: Using Online SIP Calculators (Easiest!)
Manual calculation is tedious. Here's the smart way:
How to Use a SIP Calculator
Visit our free SIP calculator and follow these steps:
Step 1: Enter monthly investment amount (e.g., ₹10,000)
Step 2: Enter investment period in years (e.g., 10 years)
Step 3: Enter expected annual return rate (e.g., 12%)
Step 4: Click calculate
Instant results:
- Future value of investment
- Total amount invested
- Estimated returns (profit)
- Visual breakdown
Example using calculator:
- Monthly SIP: ₹10,000
- Period: 10 years
- Return: 12% per annum
- Result: ₹23,23,391
Breakdown:
Total invested: ₹12,00,000
Estimated returns: ₹11,23,391
Your money more than doubles!
Try different scenarios with our calculator to see how changing amount, time, or returns affects your corpus.
Method 3: Excel/Google Sheets Formula
For those who prefer spreadsheets, here's how to calculate in Excel or Google Sheets:
Excel Formula
=FV(rate, nper, pmt, pv, type)
Where:
- rate = monthly return rate (annual % ÷ 12 ÷ 100)
- nper = total months (years × 12)
- pmt = monthly investment (negative value)
- pv = 0 (present value - we start from zero)
- type = 1 (payment at beginning of period)
Example formula for ₹10,000 monthly SIP, 10 years, 12% return:
=FV(0.01, 120, -10000, 0, 1)
Result: ₹23,23,391
Pro tip: Make it dynamic by referencing cells instead of hardcoding values:
=FV(B1/12/100, B2*12, -B3, 0, 1)
Where B1 = annual return %, B2 = years, B3 = monthly amount
Real-Life SIP Calculation Examples
Let's calculate returns for different scenarios Indian investors commonly face:
Example 1: Young Professional Starting Career
Profile: 25-year-old software engineer
Monthly SIP: ₹15,000
Duration: 10 years
Expected return: 12% (equity funds)
Calculation:
- Total invested: ₹15,000 × 120 months = ₹18,00,000
- Future value: ₹34,85,087
- Profit: ₹16,85,087
Use case: Could be used as down payment for first house or start emergency corpus.
Example 2: Mid-Career Goal Planning
Profile: 35-year-old planning for child's education
Monthly SIP: ₹20,000
Duration: 15 years
Expected return: 11% (balanced funds)
Calculation:
- Total invested: ₹20,000 × 180 months = ₹36,00,000
- Future value: ₹81,71,928
- Profit: ₹45,71,928
Use case: Child's higher education in India or abroad.
Example 3: Aggressive Retirement Planning
Profile: 30-year-old targeting early retirement
Monthly SIP: ₹25,000
Duration: 25 years
Expected return: 13% (aggressive equity)
Calculation:
- Total invested: ₹25,000 × 300 months = ₹75,00,000
- Future value: ₹3,47,16,450** (₹3.47 crores!)
- Profit: ₹2,72,16,450
Use case: Comfortable retirement corpus for early retirement at 55.
Example 4: Conservative Debt Fund SIP
Profile: Risk-averse investor
Monthly SIP: ₹10,000
Duration: 7 years
Expected return: 8% (debt funds)
Calculation:
- Total invested: ₹10,000 × 84 months = ₹8,40,000
- Future value: ₹10,97,234
- Profit: ₹2,57,234
Use case: Short-term goal like car purchase or wedding expense.
Want to calculate your specific scenario? Use our calculator with your numbers.
Understanding CAGR vs Absolute Returns
This confuses many investors. Let's clarify:
Absolute Return
Total percentage gain over entire period.
Formula: [(Final Value - Total Invested) / Total Invested] × 100
Example:
- Invested ₹10 lakhs, final value ₹15 lakhs
- Absolute return = (5 lakhs / 10 lakhs) × 100 = 50%
Problem: Doesn't account for time. 50% over 2 years is great, 50% over 10 years is poor.
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
Annualized rate of return that smooths out volatility.
Formula: [(Final Value / Total Invested)^(1/n) - 1] × 100
Where n = number of years
Example:
- Invested ₹10 lakhs, final value ₹15 lakhs over 5 years
- CAGR = [(15/10)^(1/5) - 1] × 100
- CAGR = [(1.5)^0.2 - 1] × 100
- CAGR = [1.0845 - 1] × 100
- CAGR = 8.45%
Why it matters: CAGR lets you compare different investments fairly, regardless of time period.
XIRR: The Most Accurate for SIP
For SIPs, XIRR (Extended Internal Rate of Return) is even better than CAGR because it accounts for:
- Irregular cash flows
- Exact dates of investments
- Actual money-weighted returns
Use Excel/Google Sheets XIRR function:
=XIRR(values, dates)
Where values = array of cash flows (negative for investments, positive for final value)
dates = corresponding dates
This gives you the true annualized return considering when each SIP installment was made.
How to Set Realistic Return Expectations
One of the biggest mistakes: assuming unrealistic returns.
Historical Returns in India (1990-2025)
Equity Mutual Funds:
- Large-cap funds: 11-13% CAGR
- Mid-cap funds: 13-15% CAGR
- Small-cap funds: 14-17% CAGR (but higher volatility)
Hybrid Funds:
- Balanced advantage: 9-11% CAGR
- Conservative hybrid: 8-10% CAGR
Debt Funds:
- Corporate bond funds: 7-9% CAGR
- Gilt funds: 7-8% CAGR
What Should You Assume for Calculations?
Conservative planning (recommended):
- Equity funds: Assume 10-11% (not 15%)
- Hybrid funds: Assume 8-9% (not 12%)
- Debt funds: Assume 7% (not 9%)
Why conservative? Better to be pleasantly surprised than disappointed. Plus, includes bad years (2008 crash, 2020 COVID, etc.).
The Danger of Over-Optimistic Projections
Scenario: You need ₹1 crore in 20 years for retirement.
If you assume 15% returns:
- Calculator says invest ₹8,000/month
- You invest ₹8,000 monthly feeling secure
Reality: Markets deliver 11% (still good!):
- Your actual corpus: ₹67 lakhs (₹33 lakhs short!)
- Major retirement planning failure
If you had assumed 10-11% from start:
- Calculator would say invest ₹15,000/month0
- You'd reach ₹1.03 crores safely
- Goal achieved!
Always plan conservatively.
Reverse Calculation: How Much SIP for Your Goal?
Sometimes you know your target corpus but need to find the required monthly SIP.
The Formula Reversed
P = FV × r / [(1 + r)^n - 1] × (1 + r)
Better approach: Use our SIP calculator in reverse.
Example: Child's Education Goal
Goal: Need ₹50 lakhs in 15 years
Expected return: 12% per annum
Question: How much to invest monthly?
Using calculator:
- Enter target: ₹50,00,000
- Enter period: 15 years
- Enter return: 12%
- Answer: ₹10,950 per month
Verification:
- ₹10,950 × 180 months = ₹19,71,000 (invested)
- Final value: ₹50,00,000
- Profit: ₹30,29,000
This is how you plan properly - start with goal, work backwards to monthly amount.
You may also read : [SIP Investment Guide for Beginners in India?]
How to Track Your Actual SIP Returns
Calculating expected returns is one thing. Tracking actual performance is another.
Method 1: Check Mutual Fund Statement
Your AMC (Asset Management Company) sends quarterly/annual statements showing:
- Total units held
- Current NAV (Net Asset Value)
- Current value
- Absolute returns
Calculate actual return manually:
Current Value = Units × Current NAV
Total Invested = Sum of all SIP installments
Absolute Return % = [(Current Value - Invested) / Invested] × 100
Method 2: Use Investment App Analytics
Apps like Zerodha Coin, Groww, Paytm Money show:
- XIRR (actual annualized return)
- Current value vs invested
- Gain/loss visualization
- Performance vs benchmark
Method 3: Excel XIRR Tracking
Maintain a simple spreadsheet:
Date Investment Value
-------------------------------------
01-Jan-2024 -10000
-------------------------------------
01-Feb-2024 -10000
-------------------------------------
... ...
01-Dec-2025 -10000
-------------------------------------
18-Jan-2026 0 285000
Use `=XIRR(Value column, Date column)` to get actual annualized return.
This shows if you're on track with your assumed return rate.
Common SIP Calculation Mistakes to Avoid
1. Confusing Absolute Returns with CAGR
"My SIP gave 80% returns!" sounds great, but over 10 years, that's just 8% annually—below expectations.
Always convert to annualized returns for fair comparison.
2. Not Accounting for Inflation
₹1 crore sounds huge today. But in 20 years with 6% inflation, it's worth about ₹31 lakhs in today's purchasing power.
Inflation-adjusted formula:
Real Return = [(1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation) - 1] × 100
If you're getting 12% but inflation is 6%:
Real return = [(1.12 / 1.06) - 1] × 100 = 5.66%
Calculate post-inflation values for realistic planning.
3. Forgetting Tax Impact
SIP returns are pre-tax. You pay:
- 12.5% LTCG tax on equity gains above ₹1.25 lakhs/year
- Slab rate tax on debt fund gains
Example:
- SIP maturity value: ₹50 lakhs
- Invested: ₹30 lakhs
- Gain: ₹20 lakhs
- Tax-free: ₹1.25 lakhs
- Taxable: ₹18.75 lakhs
- Tax @12.5%: ₹2.34 lakhs
- Post-tax value: ₹47.66 lakhs (not ₹50 lakhs)
Always factor in taxes for accurate planning.
4. Assuming Constant Returns Every Year
Markets don't give 12% every year. Some years give 25%, some years -15%.
Reality over 10 years might be:
Year 1: +18%
Year 2: +22%
Year 3: -12%
Year 4: +8%
... averaging 12%
SIP actually benefits from volatility (rupee cost averaging), so don't panic during down years.
5. Not Recalculating When Life Changes
You started with ₹5,000/month at age 25. Now 30, earning 50% more, still investing ₹5,000?
Recalculate annually:
- Increase SIP with salary hikes
- Adjust for changed goals
- Update return assumptions based on actual performance
Advanced: Step-Up SIP Calculations
Regular SIP: Same amount every month
Step-up SIP: Increase SIP amount annually (10%, 15%, etc.)
Example Comparison
Regular SIP:
- ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years @12%
- Total invested: ₹24 lakhs
- Final value: ₹99.91 lakhs
Step-up SIP (10% annual increase):
- Start: ₹10,000 monthly
- Year 2: ₹11,000 monthly
- Year 3: ₹12,100 monthly
- ...
- Year 20: ₹56,044 monthly
- Total invested: ₹72.32 lakhs
- Final value: ₹2.04 crores!
Same starting amount, but stepping up creates 2× corpus!
Most SIP calculators (including ours) have step-up options. Try it!
Your Action Plan: Calculate and Invest
Now that you know how to calculate SIP returns, here's what to do:
Step 1: Define Your Financial Goals
Be specific:
- ❌ "Build wealth for future"
- ✅ "₹50 lakhs for child's engineering degree in 12 years"
- ✅ "₹2 crores for retirement in 25 years"
- ✅ "₹20 lakhs for house down payment in 7 years"
Step 2: Use Calculator for Each Goal
Visit our SIP calculator and calculate:
- How much monthly SIP needed for each goal?
- What if returns are 2% lower than expected?
- Can you afford the required SIP amount?
Step 3: Start and Track Quarterly
Don't just calculate and forget. Track every 3 months:
- Are actual returns matching expectations?
- Need to increase SIP amount?
- Any goals changed?
Step 4: Adjust Annually
Every January:
- Increase SIP by 10-15% (as income grows)
- Recalculate if goals still achievable
- Rebalance if needed
Remember: Calculation is not one-time. It's an ongoing process of planning, investing, tracking, and adjusting.
Final Thoughts
The difference between successful and unsuccessful investors isn't intelligence or luck—it's planning and discipline.
Now you know:
- ✅ How SIP returns are calculated
- ✅ What affects your final corpus
- ✅ How to set realistic expectations
- ✅ How to calculate required monthly SIP for goals
- ✅ How to track actual vs expected returns
The formula and math might seem complex, but the principle is simple: Start early, invest consistently, assume conservative returns, and let compounding work its magic.
Your ₹10,000 monthly SIP might not seem like much today. But calculated over 20 years at 12%, it becomes ₹99.91 lakhs. That's the power of understanding and believing in your calculations.
Don't leave your financial future to chance. Calculate, plan, invest, and achieve.
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Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks. Past performance doesn't guarantee future returns. Actual returns may vary from calculated estimates. For personalized investment guidance, consult a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor.
Calculate your SIP returns now: Try our free calculator
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Have questions about SIP calculations? Reach out to us or share your calculation scenarios in the comments below!
