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How to Calculate SIP Returns: Step-by-Step Guide with Examples

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Last Updated: January 18, 2026

How to Calculate SIP Returns
How to Calculate SIP Returns

You've started your SIP. You're investing ₹10,000 every month. But here's the question that keeps you up at night: How much will this actually become?

Will your ₹10,000 monthly SIP grow to ₹20 lakhs, ₹50 lakhs, or even ₹1 crore? And more importantly, how do you calculate this yourself without relying on confusing Excel sheets or financial advisors?

In this comprehensive guide, we'll break down exactly how SIP returns work, teach you multiple calculation methods, and show you real examples with actual numbers. By the end, you'll be able to calculate your own SIP returns with confidence.

Why Understanding SIP Returns Matters


Before we dive into calculations, let's understand why this matters.

The harsh reality: Most Indians start SIPs without knowing their actual goal amount or whether their monthly investment is sufficient. They invest ₹5,000 monthly hoping it becomes "a good amount" in 10 years.

But "a good amount" is vague. Do you need ₹30 lakhs for your child's education or ₹80 lakhs for retirement? Without calculating returns, you're essentially investing blindly.

The power of knowing: When you can calculate SIP returns, you can:
  • Set realistic financial goals
  • Determine exact monthly investment needed
  • Track if you're on target
  • Make informed decisions about increasing SIP amounts
  • Compare different investment options

Ready to take control? Let's learn how to calculate SIP returns step by step.

Understanding the Basics: What Affects Your SIP Returns?


Before calculating, you need to understand the three key factors that determine your final corpus:

1. Monthly Investment Amount (P)


This is the fixed amount you invest every month. Could be ₹1,000, ₹5,000, ₹10,000, or any amount you choose.

Impact: Linear relationship. If you double your monthly SIP from ₹5,000 to ₹10,000, your final corpus doubles too (assuming same time and returns).

2. Investment Period (n)


How long you stay invested, measured in months or years.

Impact: Exponential relationship due to compounding. The longer you invest, the dramatically higher your returns.

Example:

  • ₹10,000 monthly for 10 years at 12% = ₹23.23 lakhs
  • ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 12% = ₹99.91 lakhs
  • Same monthly amount, double the time = 4.3x the corpus!

3. Expected Rate of Return (r)


The annual percentage return you expect from your investment.

Typical ranges:

  • Conservative (debt/hybrid funds): 7-9%
  • Moderate (large-cap equity): 10-12%
  • Aggressive (mid/small-cap equity): 13-15%

Impact: Significant on long-term wealth. Just 2% difference in returns can mean lakhs more or less.

Example:

  • ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 10% = ₹75.94 lakhs
  • ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years at 12% = ₹99.91 lakhs
  • Just 2% higher return = ₹23.97 lakhs more!




The SIP Return Formula Explained


Here's the mathematical formula used to calculate SIP returns:

FV = P × [(1 + r)^n - 1] / r × (1 + r)

Where:

  • FV = Future Value (final corpus)
  • P = Monthly investment amount
  • r = Expected monthly rate of return (annual rate ÷ 12)
  • n = Total number of monthly investments (years × 12)

Don't panic! This looks complicated, but we'll break it down with examples.

Understanding the Formula Logic


Why is it complex? Because each SIP installment has a different investment duration:

  • Your 1st month's ₹10,000 compounds for 120 months (if 10-year SIP)
  • Your 60th month's ₹10,000 compounds for 60 months
  • Your 120th month's ₹10,000 compounds for just 1 month

The formula accounts for this staggered compounding mathematically.

The good news: You don't need to calculate manually. We'll show you easier methods!

Method 1: Manual Calculation (Step-by-Step)


Let's calculate returns for a real example manually to understand the process.

Example: ₹5,000 monthly SIP for 5 years at 12% annual return

Step 1: Convert Annual Rate to Monthly


Monthly rate (r) = Annual rate ÷ 12 ÷ 100  
r = 12 ÷ 12 ÷ 100 = 0.01 (or 1%)

Step 2: Calculate Total Months


n = Years × 12  
n = 5 × 12 = 60 months

Step 3: Apply the Formula


FV = P × [(1 + r)^n - 1] / r × (1 + r)  
FV = 5,000 × [(1 + 0.01)^60 - 1] / 0.01 × (1 + 0.01)  
FV = 5,000 × [(1.01)^60 - 1] / 0.01 × 1.01  
FV = 5,000 × [1.8167 - 1] / 0.01 × 1.01  
FV = 5,000 × 0.8167 / 0.01 × 1.01  
FV = 5,000 × 81.67 × 1.01  
FV = 5,000 × 82.48  
FV = ₹4,12,400

Understanding the Result


Total invested: ₹5,000 × 60 months = ₹3,00,000  
Final value: ₹4,12,400  
Profit earned: ₹4,12,400 - ₹3,00,000 = ₹1,12,400  
Absolute return: (₹1,12,400 / ₹3,00,000) × 100 = 37.5%

But wait! This is NOT your annual return. This is total return over 5 years.

To find approximate annual return: 37.5% ÷ 5 = 7.5% (rough estimate)

Why less than 12%? Because not all your money was invested for the full 5 years. Your last SIP installment was invested for just 1 month.

Method 2: Using Online SIP Calculators (Easiest!)


Manual calculation is tedious. Here's the smart way:

How to Use a SIP Calculator


Visit our free SIP calculator and follow these steps:

Step 1: Enter monthly investment amount (e.g., ₹10,000)  
Step 2: Enter investment period in years (e.g., 10 years)  
Step 3: Enter expected annual return rate (e.g., 12%)  
Step 4: Click calculate

Instant results:

  • Future value of investment
  • Total amount invested
  • Estimated returns (profit)
  • Visual breakdown

Example using calculator:

  • Monthly SIP: ₹10,000
  • Period: 10 years
  • Return: 12% per annum
  • Result: ₹23,23,391

Breakdown:

Total invested: ₹12,00,000
Estimated returns: ₹11,23,391
Your money more than doubles!

Try different scenarios with our calculator to see how changing amount, time, or returns affects your corpus.

Method 3: Excel/Google Sheets Formula


For those who prefer spreadsheets, here's how to calculate in Excel or Google Sheets:

Excel Formula



=FV(rate, nper, pmt, pv, type)


Where:

  • rate = monthly return rate (annual % ÷ 12 ÷ 100)
  • nper = total months (years × 12)
  • pmt = monthly investment (negative value)
  • pv = 0 (present value - we start from zero)
  • type = 1 (payment at beginning of period)

Example formula for ₹10,000 monthly SIP, 10 years, 12% return:


=FV(0.01, 120, -10000, 0, 1)


Result: ₹23,23,391

Pro tip: Make it dynamic by referencing cells instead of hardcoding values:


=FV(B1/12/100, B2*12, -B3, 0, 1)


Where B1 = annual return %, B2 = years, B3 = monthly amount

Real-Life SIP Calculation Examples


Let's calculate returns for different scenarios Indian investors commonly face:

Example 1: Young Professional Starting Career


Profile: 25-year-old software engineer  
Monthly SIP: ₹15,000  
Duration: 10 years  
Expected return: 12% (equity funds)

Calculation:

  • Total invested: ₹15,000 × 120 months = ₹18,00,000
  • Future value: ₹34,85,087
  • Profit: ₹16,85,087

Use case: Could be used as down payment for first house or start emergency corpus.

Example 2: Mid-Career Goal Planning


Profile: 35-year-old planning for child's education  
Monthly SIP: ₹20,000  
Duration: 15 years  
Expected return: 11% (balanced funds)

Calculation:

  • Total invested: ₹20,000 × 180 months = ₹36,00,000
  • Future value: ₹81,71,928
  • Profit: ₹45,71,928

Use case: Child's higher education in India or abroad.

Example 3: Aggressive Retirement Planning


Profile: 30-year-old targeting early retirement  
Monthly SIP: ₹25,000  
Duration: 25 years  
Expected return: 13% (aggressive equity)

Calculation:

  • Total invested: ₹25,000 × 300 months = ₹75,00,000
  • Future value: ₹3,47,16,450** (₹3.47 crores!)
  • Profit: ₹2,72,16,450

Use case: Comfortable retirement corpus for early retirement at 55.

Example 4: Conservative Debt Fund SIP


Profile: Risk-averse investor  
Monthly SIP: ₹10,000  
Duration: 7 years  
Expected return: 8% (debt funds)

Calculation:

  • Total invested: ₹10,000 × 84 months = ₹8,40,000
  • Future value: ₹10,97,234
  • Profit: ₹2,57,234

Use case: Short-term goal like car purchase or wedding expense.

Want to calculate your specific scenario? Use our calculator with your numbers.

Understanding CAGR vs Absolute Returns


This confuses many investors. Let's clarify:

Absolute Return


Total percentage gain over entire period.

Formula: [(Final Value - Total Invested) / Total Invested] × 100

Example:

  • Invested ₹10 lakhs, final value ₹15 lakhs
  • Absolute return = (5 lakhs / 10 lakhs) × 100 = 50%

Problem: Doesn't account for time. 50% over 2 years is great, 50% over 10 years is poor.

CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)


Annualized rate of return that smooths out volatility.

Formula: [(Final Value / Total Invested)^(1/n) - 1] × 100

Where n = number of years

Example:

  • Invested ₹10 lakhs, final value ₹15 lakhs over 5 years
  • CAGR = [(15/10)^(1/5) - 1] × 100
  • CAGR = [(1.5)^0.2 - 1] × 100
  • CAGR = [1.0845 - 1] × 100
  • CAGR = 8.45%

Why it matters: CAGR lets you compare different investments fairly, regardless of time period.

XIRR: The Most Accurate for SIP


For SIPs, XIRR (Extended Internal Rate of Return) is even better than CAGR because it accounts for:
  • Irregular cash flows
  • Exact dates of investments
  • Actual money-weighted returns

Use Excel/Google Sheets XIRR function:


=XIRR(values, dates)


Where values = array of cash flows (negative for investments, positive for final value)  
dates = corresponding dates

This gives you the true annualized return considering when each SIP installment was made.

How to Set Realistic Return Expectations


One of the biggest mistakes: assuming unrealistic returns.

Historical Returns in India (1990-2025)

Equity Mutual Funds:

  • Large-cap funds: 11-13% CAGR
  • Mid-cap funds: 13-15% CAGR
  • Small-cap funds: 14-17% CAGR (but higher volatility)

Hybrid Funds:

  • Balanced advantage: 9-11% CAGR
  • Conservative hybrid: 8-10% CAGR

Debt Funds:

  • Corporate bond funds: 7-9% CAGR
  • Gilt funds: 7-8% CAGR

What Should You Assume for Calculations?


Conservative planning (recommended):
  • Equity funds: Assume 10-11% (not 15%)
  • Hybrid funds: Assume 8-9% (not 12%)
  • Debt funds: Assume 7% (not 9%)

Why conservative? Better to be pleasantly surprised than disappointed. Plus, includes bad years (2008 crash, 2020 COVID, etc.).

The Danger of Over-Optimistic Projections


Scenario: You need ₹1 crore in 20 years for retirement.

If you assume 15% returns:
  • Calculator says invest ₹8,000/month
  • You invest ₹8,000 monthly feeling secure

Reality: Markets deliver 11% (still good!):
  • Your actual corpus: ₹67 lakhs (₹33 lakhs short!)
  • Major retirement planning failure

If you had assumed 10-11% from start:
  • Calculator would say invest ₹15,000/month0
  • You'd reach ₹1.03 crores safely
  • Goal achieved!

Always plan conservatively.

Reverse Calculation: How Much SIP for Your Goal?


Sometimes you know your target corpus but need to find the required monthly SIP.

The Formula Reversed


P = FV × r / [(1 + r)^n - 1] × (1 + r)

Better approach: Use our SIP calculator in reverse.

Example: Child's Education Goal


Goal: Need ₹50 lakhs in 15 years  
Expected return: 12% per annum  
Question: How much to invest monthly?

Using calculator:

  • Enter target: ₹50,00,000
  • Enter period: 15 years
  • Enter return: 12%
  • Answer: ₹10,950 per month

Verification:

  • ₹10,950 × 180 months = ₹19,71,000 (invested)
  • Final value: ₹50,00,000
  • Profit: ₹30,29,000

This is how you plan properly - start with goal, work backwards to monthly amount.






How to Track Your Actual SIP Returns


Calculating expected returns is one thing. Tracking actual performance is another.

Method 1: Check Mutual Fund Statement


Your AMC (Asset Management Company) sends quarterly/annual statements showing:
  • Total units held
  • Current NAV (Net Asset Value)
  • Current value
  • Absolute returns

Calculate actual return manually:


Current Value = Units × Current NAV  
Total Invested = Sum of all SIP installments  
Absolute Return % = [(Current Value - Invested) / Invested] × 100

Method 2: Use Investment App Analytics


Apps like Zerodha Coin, Groww, Paytm Money show:
  • XIRR (actual annualized return)
  • Current value vs invested
  • Gain/loss visualization
  • Performance vs benchmark

Method 3: Excel XIRR Tracking


Maintain a simple spreadsheet:

Date       Investment      Value
-------------------------------------
01-Jan-2024 -10000
-------------------------------------
01-Feb-2024 -10000 
-------------------------------------
  ...  ... 
01-Dec-2025 -10000
-------------------------------------
18-Jan-2026     0            285000

Use `=XIRR(Value column, Date column)` to get actual annualized return.

This shows if you're on track with your assumed return rate.

Common SIP Calculation Mistakes to Avoid


1. Confusing Absolute Returns with CAGR


"My SIP gave 80% returns!" sounds great, but over 10 years, that's just 8% annually—below expectations.

Always convert to annualized returns for fair comparison.

2. Not Accounting for Inflation


₹1 crore sounds huge today. But in 20 years with 6% inflation, it's worth about ₹31 lakhs in today's purchasing power.

Inflation-adjusted formula:


Real Return = [(1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation) - 1] × 100

If you're getting 12% but inflation is 6%:  
Real return = [(1.12 / 1.06) - 1] × 100 = 5.66%

Calculate post-inflation values for realistic planning.

3. Forgetting Tax Impact


SIP returns are pre-tax. You pay:
  • 12.5% LTCG tax on equity gains above ₹1.25 lakhs/year
  • Slab rate tax on debt fund gains

Example:

  • SIP maturity value: ₹50 lakhs
  • Invested: ₹30 lakhs
  • Gain: ₹20 lakhs
  • Tax-free: ₹1.25 lakhs
  • Taxable: ₹18.75 lakhs
  • Tax @12.5%: ₹2.34 lakhs
  • Post-tax value: ₹47.66 lakhs (not ₹50 lakhs)

Always factor in taxes for accurate planning.

4. Assuming Constant Returns Every Year


Markets don't give 12% every year. Some years give 25%, some years -15%.

Reality over 10 years might be:
Year 1: +18%  
Year 2: +22%  
Year 3: -12%  
Year 4: +8%  
... averaging 12%

SIP actually benefits from volatility (rupee cost averaging), so don't panic during down years.

5. Not Recalculating When Life Changes


You started with ₹5,000/month at age 25. Now 30, earning 50% more, still investing ₹5,000?

Recalculate annually:

  • Increase SIP with salary hikes
  • Adjust for changed goals
  • Update return assumptions based on actual performance

Advanced: Step-Up SIP Calculations


Regular SIP: Same amount every month  
Step-up SIP: Increase SIP amount annually (10%, 15%, etc.)

Example Comparison


Regular SIP:

  • ₹10,000 monthly for 20 years @12%
  • Total invested: ₹24 lakhs
  • Final value: ₹99.91 lakhs

Step-up SIP (10% annual increase):

  • Start: ₹10,000 monthly
  • Year 2: ₹11,000 monthly
  • Year 3: ₹12,100 monthly
  •  ...
  • Year 20: ₹56,044 monthly
  • Total invested: ₹72.32 lakhs
  • Final value: ₹2.04 crores!

Same starting amount, but stepping up creates 2× corpus!

Most SIP calculators (including ours) have step-up options. Try it!

Your Action Plan: Calculate and Invest


Now that you know how to calculate SIP returns, here's what to do:

Step 1: Define Your Financial Goals


Be specific:
  • ❌ "Build wealth for future"
  • ✅ "₹50 lakhs for child's engineering degree in 12 years"
  • ✅ "₹2 crores for retirement in 25 years"
  • ✅ "₹20 lakhs for house down payment in 7 years"

Step 2: Use Calculator for Each Goal


Visit our SIP calculator and calculate:
  • How much monthly SIP needed for each goal?
  • What if returns are 2% lower than expected?
  • Can you afford the required SIP amount?

Step 3: Start and Track Quarterly


Don't just calculate and forget. Track every 3 months:
  • Are actual returns matching expectations?
  • Need to increase SIP amount?
  • Any goals changed?

Step 4: Adjust Annually


Every January:
  • Increase SIP by 10-15% (as income grows)
  • Recalculate if goals still achievable
  • Rebalance if needed

Remember: Calculation is not one-time. It's an ongoing process of planning, investing, tracking, and adjusting.

Final Thoughts


The difference between successful and unsuccessful investors isn't intelligence or luck—it's planning and discipline.

Now you know:
  • ✅ How SIP returns are calculated
  • ✅ What affects your final corpus
  • ✅ How to set realistic expectations
  • ✅ How to calculate required monthly SIP for goals
  • ✅ How to track actual vs expected returns

The formula and math might seem complex, but the principle is simple: Start early, invest consistently, assume conservative returns, and let compounding work its magic.

Your ₹10,000 monthly SIP might not seem like much today. But calculated over 20 years at 12%, it becomes ₹99.91 lakhs. That's the power of understanding and believing in your calculations.

Don't leave your financial future to chance. Calculate, plan, invest, and achieve.

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Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks. Past performance doesn't guarantee future returns. Actual returns may vary from calculated estimates. For personalized investment guidance, consult a SEBI Registered Investment Advisor.

Calculate your SIP returns now: Try our free calculator

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Have questions about SIP calculations? Reach out to us or share your calculation scenarios in the comments below!




Editor & Analyst

Niharika

Dedicated to simplifying the Indian financial ecosystem for the modern investor. Expert in Mutual Fund analysis and Tax Planning.